IN SCOPEGDP$15.10BCPI YoY3.1%External reserves$3.12BImport cover6.1 moFiscal balance−1.8%
7 awaitingAll feeds live--:--:-- EDT
Minister of EconomyScope: National totals & exceptionsAuthority: Unlimited (policy measures, statements)Executive altitude: exceptions, decisions and aggregates. Individual trader records are de-identified for this role — operational granularity sits with the Comptroller.
Economic climate
Baseline conditions. Feeds nominal, no active shock applied.
Intensity
Effects spread across streams; buffers draw down.
TimelineCurrent · point 3 of 4

Essential Supply

Days of cover for the nine commodities the country cannot run out of — by island, by importer, and by the sailing that resupplies them.

SituationMinister of Economy · Steady State

All nine essential commodities hold national cover above the 14-day line. The weakest island is Exuma, where cement at 11 days binds first, followed by lpg at 14 days. LPG carries the highest single-supplier exposure in the essentials book at 92% importer concentration. Every scheduled feeder sailing is running.

Days of cover — commodity by island

Nine essential commodities across eight islands. The blue ramp runs darkest at the lowest cover, and every cell prints its own figure so colour never carries the meaning alone. Every cell opens.

CommodityNationalNew ProvidenceGrand BahamaAbacoEleutheraExumaAndrosLong IslandBimini
Rice34 d
Flour29 d
Cooking oil31 d
LPG22 d
Diesel26 d
Gasoline24 d
Infant formula41 d
Essential medicines38 d
Cement19 d
Days of coverover 21 days stable · 14–21 watch · under 14 critical
Cells with a hairline outline are the surveyed weakest island for that commodity; the rest are modelled from national cover and the island's stockholding factor.

Importer stock returns · Inter-island freight manifests 4 Aug 2026 · 07:30 National days of cover from importer stock returns divided by trailing consumption; island cells scale national cover by the island's stockholding factor, except surveyed weakest islands which are reported directly.

Importer concentration

Share of each commodity held by its largest importer. Concentration is a structural exposure — it does not move with the climate.

Above 85% a single importer's delay is a national event; between 70% and 85% it is a shortage on the smaller islands first. Status is stated as a label in the drawer for every commodity.

Trade licence register · Importer stock returns 4 Aug 2026 · 07:30 Largest importer's share of trailing-12-month import volume for each commodity.

Inter-island shipping lanes

The feeder network that resupplies the Family Islands. Every row opens the lane.

LaneCarrierFrequencyServesStatus
Nassau → FreeportCaribbean Rim Lines3 sailings a weekGrand BahamaRunning to schedule
Nassau → Marsh HarbourMV Abaco Trader2 sailings a weekAbacoRunning to schedule
Nassau → Governor's HarbourProvidence Channel Shipping2 sailings a weekEleutheraRunning to schedule
Nassau → George TownMV Abaco TraderWeeklyExumaRunning to schedule
Nassau → Fresh CreekProvidence Channel Shipping2 sailings a weekAndrosRunning to schedule
Nassau → Clarence TownCaribbean Rim LinesWeeklyLong IslandRunning to schedule
Nassau → Alice TownMV Abaco TraderWeeklyBiminiRunning to schedule

Every scheduled sailing is running. Nothing on this network is currently constraining island cover.

Inter-island freight manifests · Carrier sailing schedules 4 Aug 2026 · 07:30 Scheduled frequency from carrier filings; cancellations reported by the carrier and confirmed against the manifest.

SOVEREIGN IN-COUNTRY HOSTING · IMMUTABLE AUDIT LOG · EXPLAINABLE BY DESIGNHELM v1.0 · CLASSIFICATION: OFFICIAL · SIMULATED DATA FOR DEMONSTRATION